The monsoon prediction for Karnataka in 2024 indicates a positive outlook. After experiencing a below-normal monsoon in 2023 due to the El Niño weather pattern, this year brings a welcome change. Skymet’s Preliminary Monsoon Forecast Guidance suggests that Karnataka can expect a normal monsoon.
One significant factor contributing to this positive outlook is the recent shift from a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) to a neutral Dipole Mode Index. Additionally, projections from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) indicate an 83% chance of La Niña becoming active between April and June. La Niña events are often associated with above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season.
This promising scenario raises expectations that the 2024 monsoon in Karnataka will be on the positive side of normal. As we eagerly await the arrival of the rains, let’s hope for a season that rejuvenates our land and brings relief to farmers and communities across the state.